Sakaja’s ODM Move Signals Strategic Political Realignment Ahead of 2027 Elections

Nairobi Governor Johnson Sakaja’s decision to join the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) represents a major political development as he prepares for the 2027 General Election. The move is also aimed at building stronger political alliances that could help him advance his administration’s development agenda for the capital.

Nairobi is a unique county. As Kenya’s capital and biggest urban economic centre, it faces complex governance challenges that demand effective collaboration between City Hall, the County Assembly and the national government.

Consequently, political alliances, mutual understanding and strategic partnerships are essential in ensuring the smooth running of the county’s affairs.

This explains why former Prime Minister Raila Odinga appointed Sakaja to oversee Nairobi’s political affairs in February 2025, even though the two leaders were affiliated with different political parties. The decision demonstrated confidence in Sakaja’s capacity to unite leaders with competing interests and promote political stability in a county where effective leadership depends on cooperation across party boundaries.

Sakaja, who won the gubernatorial seat under the United Democratic Alliance (UDA), has governed Nairobi while working with a County Assembly largely dominated by ODM members. His latest decision to join the party effectively strengthens an existing political relationship that has played an important role in his administration. It could also improve coordination between the county government and the Assembly.

Such cooperation is essential in advancing development and improving service delivery. Initiatives such as Dishi na County, healthcare improvements, tackling water shortages, repairing drainage infrastructure, modernising markets, improving roads and addressing urban transport challenges all depend on reliable funding, legislative backing and continued institutional support.

Members of the County Assembly (MCAs) are central to this process because they are responsible for approving county budgets and passing legislation. Their cooperation has a direct impact on the Governor’s capacity to implement his development plans and turn campaign commitments into meaningful improvements in the lives of Nairobi residents.

For a county still grappling with inadequate infrastructure, sanitation concerns, healthcare challenges and gaps in public services, political unity should therefore be viewed as more than a strategy for winning elections. It is also a vital ingredient in delivering effective governance.

A Strategic Position Ahead of the 2027 Elections

Sakaja’s decision also has important electoral implications as the country approaches the 2027 General Election. As a sitting Governor seeking another term, he is aligning himself with an established political party that enjoys a strong grassroots network and a significant political presence in Nairobi.

His move comes as several individuals considered potential challengers begin positioning themselves within different political formations, even as the opposition’s ultimate political direction remains uncertain. By joining ODM, Sakaja gains access to an established political platform as he prepares for the upcoming contest.

Nevertheless, the Governor’s political calculations appear to leave room for continued engagement with President William Ruto and the broad-based government. This reflects the political balancing act that has been a defining feature of his administration.

ODM’s historical connection to Raila Odinga’s principles of devolution, social justice, inclusivity and people-centred leadership also gives the Governor’s decision a broader political dimension.

These ideals can be reflected in practical improvements across Nairobi, including ensuring that children receive school meals, residents access affordable healthcare, businesses operate in a favourable environment and public services adequately address the daily needs of the population.

Ultimately, Sakaja’s decision to join ODM seeks to bring his political alliances closer to the governance relationships required to achieve his administration’s objectives. Although winning a second term remains an important motivation, his real challenge will be demonstrating that the new political arrangement can produce better services and visible development for Nairobi residents.

Raila Odinga previously placed his confidence in Sakaja by entrusting him with Nairobi’s political affairs. The Governor is now working to strengthen that political relationship and secure the support necessary to fulfil his administration’s commitments while addressing the challenges that remain unresolved in the city.

The wider significance of Sakaja’s decision to join ODM, therefore, goes beyond party membership. It represents an effort to consolidate political support in the hope of achieving continuity, stability and improved service delivery across Nairobi.